EXACT CARD PHOTO
TM-4
TM-4FOOTBALL · The Man
Patrick Mahomes II The Man TM-4
2025 TOPPS FINEST Football · Finest super short print
SALES SEARCHES CHECKED 2026-10-11guide pending
- Card code
- TM-4
- Format
- Hobby + Breaker Delight
- Official odds
- 1:422 Hobby · 1:71 Breaker
- Print run
- Not announced
Affiliate links · your price is unchanged · research and rankings remain independent.
CARD EVIDENCE
What we know. What is missing.
7Matching raw sold-listing observations
2Condition-comparable guide inputs
0Unverified raw sale reports
0Unverified graded sale reports
Next research step: Compare sample dates, condition and total buyer cost. Keep Excellent and unknown-condition sales separate from the near-mint guide.
Calculated 2026-10-15 · Last evidence check 2026-10-11 · Latest observed raw sale 2026-10-07. Calculation date is not a new source check.
- 1 more condition-comparable NM+ input needed in the 180-day window
- Print run not recorded
Exact identity and source trail
- Release
- 2025 TOPPS FINEST Football
- Insert / code
- The Man / TM-4
- Subject / variant
- Patrick Mahomes II / Standard insert · confirm against checklist
- Record ID
- 2025-topps-finest-football-the-man-tm-4
Counts cover evidence retained by PULLED., not all marketplace sales. Observed sale counts and condition-comparable guide inputs are separate. Reports never qualify a guide; asking prices and hidden accepted prices remain separate. Three recent sales meet a minimum depth check, not a guarantee of comparable condition or value.
2026-10-11 · 130POINT + EBAY SOLD
The sales behind this card.
7 matching raw sold-listing observations, deduplicated by item ID across the two completed searches. A sold listing does not establish payment, delivery or a unique physical copy. This is the accessible source history within the recorded scope.
Both source searches complete. Two exact near-mint-or-better originals: October 7 accepted $550 and July 14 auction $517. June 26 and older originals no longer expose condition. All seven raw observations retained, accepted prices corrected; no new guide until a third qualifying comp.
130point sold search ↗ · eBay Sold search ↗
NO GUIDE / DATA GAP
2 condition-checked guide inputs. A median needs three distinct exact sales with seller-stated Near mint or better condition and an inspected USD item price. The three most recent qualifying inputs are used; check their dates. Excellent and unknown-condition copies remain in the history below. Shipping, tax and import costs are extra.
- 2026-10-07 · $550.00 · 318690661502 ↗
Ungraded - Near mint or better · 130point exact accepted-offer amount - 2026-07-14 · $517.00 · 327251718268 ↗
Ungraded - Near mint or better · 130point completed auction/fixed item price, USD as displayed; shipping/tax excluded for eBay items; other marketplace fee basis unverified
Raw sold listings · all recorded conditions
Accepted offers use a recovered accepted amount when available. A crossed-out ask is never substituted. Displayed USD conversions remain identified in the price basis; the original transaction currency may differ. Condition statements come from the seller, not an independent grader.
| Sold date | Item amount | Condition / price basis | Source evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | $550.00 | Ungraded - Near mint or better 130point exact accepted-offer amount | 318690661502 ↗ 130point + eBay Sold |
| 2026-07-14 | $517.00 | Ungraded - Near mint or better 130point completed auction/fixed item price, USD as displayed; shipping/tax excluded for eBay items; other marketplace fee basis unverified | 327251718268 ↗ 130point + eBay Sold |
| 2026-06-26 | $550.00 | Raw photo verified; original condition unavailable/not checked 130point exact accepted-offer amount | 366481635430 ↗ 130point |
| 2026-06-16 | $600.00 | Raw photo verified; original condition unavailable/not checked 130point exact accepted-offer amount | 157955155462 ↗ 130point |
| 2026-06-15 | $600.00 | Raw photo verified; original condition unavailable/not checked 130point exact accepted-offer amount | 398020971124 ↗ 130point |
| 2026-06-06 | $600.00 | Raw photo verified; original condition unavailable/not checked 130point exact accepted-offer amount | 366440701733 ↗ 130point |
| 2026-05-16 | $1,400.00 | Raw photo verified; original condition unavailable/not checked 130point exact accepted-offer amount | 157913448506 ↗ 130point |
All 7 observations, search coverage and earlier evidence
130point: No manual date filter. Every delivered page exhausted; observed dates 2026-05-16 through 2026-10-07. 130point retained historical result window, not represented as a rolling 90 days. 130point all marketplaces/all locations; underlying eBay plus separately rejected Goldin/Fanatics graded records where returned. 9 result rows inspected; 7 exact raw matches. All target result pages reviewed; overlapping transactions count once. eBay Sold: No manual date filter. Every delivered page exhausted; observed dates 2026-07-14 through 2026-10-11. eBay accessible Sold history includes related sold suggestions below primary results. eBay.com Sold Items; default location/all accessible sellers; USD display; related sold suggestions separately reviewed. 62 result rows inspected; 2 exact raw matches. All target result pages reviewed; overlapping transactions count once.
Download the sale history, source coverage and historical evidence (JSON) ↗
Previous raw guide: $579.25, retained from the review dated 2026-08-17. It is historical context and is superseded by the evidence state above.
2025 TOPPS FINEST Football The Man Patrick Mahomes II TM-4; physical standard unnumbered insert, raw/ungraded, no autograph or relic. Numbered parallels, other years, grades and conditions remain separate.
NO VERIFIED EDGE. Match the actual copy, condition and total buyer cost before deciding.
Explore all ten cards in this review ↗INVESTMENT-GRADE COLLECTING · RAW · 2026-10-15
Quality. Price. Evidence.
Investment Watchlist ↗- Q · Quality
- 74/100
- V · Valuation
- —
- L · Liquidity
- —
- E · Evidence
- DATA GAP
- F · Freshness
- FRESH
WAIT
DATA GAP · WAIT FOR THIRD SALE
Portfolio role unassigned · LIMITEDTarget entry: — · evidence does not support an entry range
Invalidation: Research remains open until exact raw evidence, comparable prices and condition can support an entry range.
These scores use only the condition-comparable guide sample, not every sold listing above. 2 condition-comparable raw guide inputs in the last 180 days · 2 historical guide inputs · latest 2026-10-07 · historical evidence DATA GAP. Unavailable scores are unknown, not zero.
Score inputs, sources and missing evidence
Scores are provisional editorial and historical comparisons. V has 0 scored inputs; no verified current purchase price or grading economics. Supply reserve: −10 points.
Q inputs
- Subject durability: 86 · Editorial durability rubric: established; subject identity in indexed checklist. No current performance forecast.
- Insert franchise: 65 · Editorial franchise rubric; no price or insert-heat input
- Card significance: 60 · Standard indexed insert; no first-issue or historic-premium claim
- Verified scarcity: UNKNOWN · UNKNOWN: no qualifying official numeric odds/print run; SSP label is not a print run
- Visual / collector appeal: 75 · Provisional design rubric for an exact photo in a recognized insert; subjective, not a buyer survey
V inputs
- Own price history: UNKNOWN · Needs at least two exact sales in each chronological half
- Same-athlete relative value: UNKNOWN · 0 quality-comparable raw inserts; at least two peers required
- Same-insert relative value: UNKNOWN · 1 comparable subjects in exact release and cohort; at least two peers required
- Legends vs prospects: UNKNOWN · Not applicable to this cohort
- Raw vs graded economics: UNKNOWN · Insufficient exact PSA 10 history
- Margin of safety: UNKNOWN · No fresh comparable fixed ask; no actionable price assessment
L inputs
- Exact-sale frequency: 17 · Observed raw sales per 30 days; window at least 30 days; not total marketplace turnover
- Transaction depth: 20 · 2 deduplicated raw transactions in 180 days; 10 reaches full depth
- Spread: UNKNOWN · Unknown: fresh comparable fixed asks unavailable
- Market depth: 20 · Distinct observed sale dates; unique buyers unknown
Official release evidence
Marketplace evidence
- 2026-10-07 · Raw · $550 · Completed sale · 130point + eBay Sold · condition inspected · USD item price ↗
- 2026-07-14 · Raw · $517 · Completed sale · 130point + eBay Sold · condition inspected · USD item price ↗
Open inputs: Verified scarcity · Own price history · Same-athlete relative value · Same-insert relative value · Raw vs graded economics · Margin of safety · Unique buyer depth · Landed cost / taxes / fees · Fresh market verification · First 180 days of supply; 10-point supply reserve. 0 excluded rows.
MARKET CHECK · USD
Condition-comparable price evidence.
Observed raw sales appear above. This section contains the inspected guide sample and any historical graded references.EVIDENCE NOTES
7 distinct matching raw sold-listing observations. Both mandatory source searches completed within the recorded scope on 2026-10-11. Observations do not establish paid transactions or unique physical copies.
Both source searches complete. Two exact near-mint-or-better originals: October 7 accepted $550 and July 14 auction $517. June 26 and older originals no longer expose condition. All seven raw observations retained, accepted prices corrected; no new guide until a third qualifying comp.
A raw guide requires three distinct sales inspected for the exact edition, seller-stated Near mint or better condition and USD item amount. Older raw guides are preserved in the downloadable history and are not carried forward as newly verified prices. Unknown-condition and Excellent copies remain visible outside the guide sample.
Retained graded sales are historical references from the previous review. This update researches raw copies; it does not refresh a graded guide. NO VERIFIED EDGE.
PULLED. READ
The Man: the quick read.
The Man began in 1998 Finest Baseball and now appears in four sports. PULLED. lists 60 current checklist positions across baseball, basketball, football and UEFA, with sales matched by release, code and condition.
CHECK BEFORE YOU BUY
The same TM code repeats in every sport, so TM-1 is not a universal identity.
Guide snapshots are context only; use dated exact sales and never blend a case-hit label into one cross-sport price curve.
Match the photo, card number, parallel and condition before using a sale to value another card. Some records still have missing information.