EXACT CARD · HISTORICAL CASE · LISTING UNAVAILABLEVictor Wembanyama 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball Ultra Violet UV-8 card
2025/26 Topps Chrome Basketball · Ultra Violet All-Stars UV-8

CASE 002 · BASKETBALL · INVESTMENT CASE

Victor Wembanyama
UV-8

VERDICT AT REVIEWOFFERPARTIAL EVIDENCE · CHECKED 2026-08-27

The historical $2,285 ask was above the August 27 model ceiling of $1,375 after resale costs. Original item 366571382577 no longer opens as that listing (checked September 30, 2026). These dated figures are not an offer recommendation for current inventory.

September 28: the original listing now opens a product page. Search results require a fresh exact-card check.

The eBay link may earn PULLED. a commission. That relationship has zero weight in the verdict.

THE MARKET

Yes.

This card pairs a globally followed young star with a recognizable art SSP design. Five raw sales of the same card fell inside 90 days, including a $2,995 completed sale on Aug. 25.

THE DEAL

Offer ≤ $1,375.

The historical $2,285 ask was above the August 27 model ceiling of $1,375 after resale costs. Original item 366571382577 no longer opens as that listing (checked September 30, 2026). These dated figures are not an offer recommendation for current inventory.

01 · THE ECONOMICS

Costs and potential resale proceeds.

Model at the indexed ask · checked 2026-08-27 · USD · U.S.-local scenario · buyer-specific taxes excluded
ITEM PRICE$2,285BEST OFFER
WATCHER SNAPSHOT20PARTIAL · NOT FAIR VALUE
MODELED LANDED$2,313INCLUDING FX RESERVE
CONSERVATIVE EXIT$2,500WEIGHTED 35TH PERCENTILE
EXPECTED NET$2,056PROBABILITY-WEIGHTED
EXPECTED PROFIT-$349.23-15% RISK-ADJUSTED ROI
60-DAY SALE46%68 MODELED DAYS TO CASH
MODEL CEILING$1,37540% THIN-MARKET TARGET

02 · WHY IT COULD WORK

The collectible case.

01

The same card sold raw for $2,995 on Aug. 25, providing a recent completed sale for comparison.

02

Five exact raw sales inside 90 days put the card well above PULLED.'s three-sale evidence floor.

03

The latest indexed eBay page showed 20 watchers at $2,285 or Best Offer—meaningful marketplace attention, clearly labeled stale until rechecked.

03 · WHY THE ASK FAILS

The listing case.

01

The exact listing and watcher count could not be freshly reverified, so PULLED. will not call the supply live.

02

Five sales against five indexed active listings model only a 46% probability of sale inside 60 days.

03

After a 13% selling fee and explicit shipping, return, carrying and uncertainty reserves, expected profit is about -$349 at the indexed ask.

04 · EXACT TRANSACTIONS

5 matching completed sales.

Active asks and watcher counts stay outside the valuation distribution.

05 · MARKET COVERAGE

Sources checked for this review.

Missing sales data is marked below.
VERIFIEDOTHER · OFFICIAL IDENTITY

Topps checklist

Official 2025/26 Topps Chrome Basketball checklist identifies Victor Wembanyama as Ultra Violet All-Stars UV-8.

INSPECT SOURCE ↗
PARTIALUSA · ATTENTION

eBay

Latest indexed exact raw listing showed 20 watchers at $2,285 or Best Offer. The index was roughly three weeks old, so the attention count is stale and cannot be presented as live.

INSPECT SOURCE ↗
PARTIALUSA · ACTIVE SUPPLY

eBay

Five exact-card fixed-price results were present on the latest indexed category page, but a fresh live listing check was blocked. September 30, 2026 source check: original item 366571382577 redirects to a generic product page; the original listing is unavailable. This August 27 supply snapshot is historical.

NO SOURCE ATTACHED
PARTIALUSA · COMPLETED SALES

SportsCardsPro · underlying eBay titles

Five dated exact raw sales inside 90 days were visible, including $2,995 on Aug. 25. Transaction photos and independent source breadth remain incomplete.

INSPECT SOURCE ↗
MISSINGEUROPE · ACTIVE SUPPLY

eBay Europe / Vinted

No Europe-located exact raw listing was attached to this case.

NO SOURCE ATTACHED
MISSINGEUROPE · COMPLETED SALES

eBay Europe

No Europe-specific executed-price row was verified.

NO SOURCE ATTACHED
MISSINGOTHER · COMPLETED SALES

Independent auction archive

No second completed-result source was added.

NO SOURCE ATTACHED
VERIFIEDOTHER · FX

European Central Bank

EUR 1 = USD 1.1645 reference rate used for calculator normalization.

INSPECT SOURCE ↗

WHEN TO RECONSIDER

What changes the call.

Do not offer until the exact listing, watcher count and raw condition are freshly verified. Hard ceiling: $1,375 including item price only; reduce it for buyer tax or new condition risk. A seller counter above the ceiling remains a pass.

MODEL NOTE

USD display. The exact-listing calculator was run in EUR using the ECB 27 Aug 2026 reference rate of EUR 1 = USD 1.1645, then converted back for display. The $1,375 ceiling uses a 40% thin-market target return, 13% selling fee and explicit shipping, return, carrying and uncertainty reserves. The board uses a 12–24 month collector horizon; the current $2,285 ask still fails. Attention never enters fair value.

READ THE FULL MARKET DESK METHOD ↗